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Marginal risk for severe thunderstorm in central Montana

Storm timing
Storm Prediction Center risk
Temperature Trends
Great Falls 7-day
Helena 7-day
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Happy Thursday! It is a pleasant but mild start to the day. After a high of 95° in Great Falls on Wednesday, a passing weather system will bring slightly cooler temperatures and a chance of thunderstorms.

Storm timing

As of 8:30am, a line of showers and embedded thunderstorms is moving through Toole and Liberty counties, bringing light precipitation amounts. This batch will push further east throughout the morning, mainly impacting the Hi-Line.

Storm Prediction Center risk

Later today and tonight, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop, with the highest likelihood of storms in the Golden Triangle area. While most areas will see only a 30-40% chance of precipitation, the Storm Prediction Center has placed north central Montana under a marginal risk of severe weather, with gusty winds, lightning, and brief downpours possible in one or two storms.

Thursday will be hazy across the region as a wind shift brings additional wildfire smoke into central Montana. The hot and dry pattern looks to persist through Friday and the weekend, with highs in the low to mid 90s. A few isolated thunderstorms are possible Saturday evening, mainly in the mountains.

Temperature Trends

An early heads-up: the middle of next week (July 23-24) is shaping up to be very hot, with many areas reaching 100°F. However, long-range models hint at a possible cooldown by the following weekend, with highs in the 80s. Keep your fingers crossed if you're ready for a break from the heat!

Great Falls 7-day
Helena 7-day